Sunday, October 30, 2005

SINGER TALKS 10.30.05

So this was a crazy week....

10 year Bond has broken out to the upside above 4.55%
and we had a big rally on Friday ..
The GDP number came in @ 3.8%, however,
with the amount of actual inflation out there growth is not that good..

Both GTRC and ITT were down 10 dollars on poor earnings reports...
URBN failed its high @ 31.70 and dropped to 26.50..HOLLA

They fell apart as the charts had suggested...
Even though the rally would have you believe things are OK
they certainly don't feel that way..

Let's see how this thing plays out..
By the way, GGP reports earnings on MONDAY..
I'm still in the bear camp..

I'm reading two geat books that are foundational and have been enlightening..
Another was a quick entertainment read but still informative nonetheless..

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OF THE FINANCIAL MARKETS , JOHN MURPHY
FORECASTING FINANCIAL MARKETS , TONY PLUMMER 4TH EDITION

THE TRADERS, SONNY KLEINFELD

one

SINGER

Sunday, October 23, 2005

TOL- 1 YR Daily 10.22.05

IYR- 1 YR REIT i SHARES 10.22.05

ITT Industries - ITT - 1 YR Daily 10.22.05

General Growth - GGP - 1 YR Daily 10.22.05

Chesepeake Energy - CHK - 1 YR Daily 10.22.05

GOLD Getting ROLLED in Asian Trading



After a big pop Friday....Another selloff.....

TICKER SYMBOLS FOR CHARTS - 10.22.05

QLGC- Q LOGIC
RG- ROGERS COMMUNICATIONS
RGR- STURM RUGER
SNDK- SANDISK
STU- STUDENT LOAN CORP.
TLT- ISHARES LONG BOND
TOL- TOLL BROTHERS
UN- UNILEVER
UVN- UNIVISION
URBN- URBAN OUTFITTERS

Univision - UVN - 4 YR Weekly 10.22.05

Urban Outfitters - URBN - 4 YR Weekly 10.22.05



Urban is most likely making adouble top here...
The split and massive negative sentiment turned aprobabble decline into a nice pop...
However,this stock has failed to eclipse its previous high and therefore...
Should begin a steady decline from here...

WATCH TO SEE IF IT CAN REMAIN ABOVE ITS PREVIOUS HIGH...
IF NOT ITS DOWN DOWN DOWN...

Unilever - UN - 4 YR Weekly 10.22.05

Toll Brothers -TOL- 4 YR Weekly 10.22.05



There may be a head and shoulders top forming...

If thats the case we may see a low volume rally to the mid forties..

That would be a short/put opportunity down to 30....

iShares Long Bond Index - TLT - 4 YR Weekly 10.22.05

Student Loan Corp. - STU - 4 YR Weekly 10.22.05

SanDisk - SNDK- 4 YR Weekly 10.22.05



up from 20 to 55 in three months just had a blowoff 20% pop on grear earnings..
Flash Disk Drives are great though perhaps this is the beginning of a healthy correction....

Sturm Ruger - RGR - 4 YR Weekly 10.22.05



has been bouncing around on various legislative moves by Congress
protecting gunmakers from litigation...

Rogers Communications - RG - 4 YR Weekly 10.22.05

Thursday, October 20, 2005

20 Most Overvalued Housing Markets



From the Wall Street Journal by way of
Barry Ritholtz's Big Picture Blog

JIm Puplava From financialsense.com on OIL and GOLD

This is an excellent article...The quote from John Templeton is right on..

The piece describes the hot money that went into OIL and GOLD...ran up the prices to $70 a barrel crude and $480 an oz gold and then blew out of the positions when that scenario didn't materialize...Now these groups have pulled back significantly ...and the weak holders have sold off..

I agree with Jim..The next months will see a nice move from these temporarily hated stocks....

http://www.financialsense.com/Market/puplava/2005/1020.html

Saturday, October 15, 2005

TICKER SYMBOLS FOR CHARTS - 10.15.05

POOL - SCP POOL
PTR - PETROCHINA
OSI - OUTBACK STEAKHOUSE
ODP - OFFICE DEPOT
NFLX - NETFLIX
NCR - NATIONAL CASH REGISTER
MHP - MCGRAW HILL
MSO - MARTHA STEWART
LEH - LEHMAN BROTHERS
LOW - LOWE'S
KSE - KEYSPAN
KIM - KIMCO REALTY

Petrochina - PTR - 4 YR Weekly 10.15.05



Up uncontrollably over the past few years...Buffet owns a big stake in this killer which has pulled back nicely as it readies for another journey higher.....

SCP Pool - POOL - 4 YR Weekly 10.15.05



Largest maker of pool and back yard chemicals took a dive FRI but on unusually high volume...Downside ahead as it reports earnings later this week...

Outback Steakhouse - OSI - 4 YR Weekly 10.15.05



Got slaughtered recently...

Office Depot - ODP - 4 YR Weekly 10.15.05



This stock has been up wildly before a recent correction...

More Downside ahead....

Netflix - NFLX - 4 YR Weekly 10.15.05




Went from 2.50 to 30 back to 10 and is now pushing the 30 mark again..
Wait till it sinks beneath resistance turned support and then pounce to the downside..

Puzzling climb in price nonetheless???

National Cash Register - NCR - 4 YR Weekly 10.15.05



They make ATM's and you guessed it cash register's..Got former Symbol Tech CEO Bill Nuti on board and and beat their most recent quarter...

Martha Stewart Omnimedia - MSO - 4 YR Weekly 10.15.05



The domestic diva's stock shot up on a short squeeze while she was in jail then pulled back 50% when she got out...Her time in house arrest saw another run up and short opportunity..Stock plummeted again when her not so good new shows hit the airwaves...

Let's see if it holds support here...

McGraw-Hill - MHP - 4 YR Weekly 10.15.05

Lowe's - LOW - 4 YR Weekly 10.15.05

Lehman Bros. - LEH - 4 YR Weekly 10.15.05

Keyspan Corp. - KSE - 4 YR Weekly 10.15.05



Down severely..Would begin building a position here....

Kimco Realty - KIM - 4 YR Weekly 10.15.05



just another victim...

SINGER and Nassau County DA Dennis Dillon



I interned briefly this summer at the Nassau County DA's office..As a courtesy to engender nostalgia for the office in prospective young lawyers we were furnished with this nice keepsake..

I was the last one on line and to my suprise the DA said,"So, are you going to practice LAW when you graduate?" I replied with a smile, "I'm going to get into Invesments."

"You'll donate to my next re-election campaign," quipped the seven term DA..

Thanks for the photo though I believe we were supposed to be totally in front of that curtain!!!!!!

Sunday, October 09, 2005

SCP Pool - POOL - 4 YR Weekly 10.08.05



Here's a four year daily of POOL... I used a 200 day Bollinger and low and behold this one has been south of the middle 200 day line and has only been at the bottom trading band once on the entire chart...The price seems to be sticking to the 200 day here and appears to want to go through and not pop higher as it has done previously, bouncing off that line for a nice gain... I'm holding some OCT 35 Puts... The risk reward looks excellent for more downside... The questions are will it happen soon enough?? Will the pullback in Energy help chemical companies?? Though I'm not sure if this pool chemical company is levered to energy considering it has gone up while energy prices have gone continuously HIGHER...

Saturday, October 08, 2005

Ticker Symbols for Charts for the Week Of : 10.08.05

FMT - FREMONT INVESTMENT AND LOAN
FO - FORTUNE BRANDS
GRTC -GUITAR CENTER
GSK - GLAXO WELLCOME
HANS - HANSEN NATURAL
HRB - HR BLOCK
IR - INGERSOLL RAND
IMAX - IMAX THEATRES
JDSU - JDS UNIPHASE
JWN - NORDSTROM'S

Nordstrom's - JWN - 4 YR Weekly 10.08.05

JDS Uniphase - JDSU - 4 YR Weekly 10.08.05

Ingersoll-Rand - IR - 4 YR Weekly 10.08.05

Imax - IMAX - 4 YR Weekly 10.08.05

HR Block - HRB - 4 YR Weekly 10.08.05

Hansen - HANS - 4 YR Weekly 10.08.05

Guitar Center -GTRC - 4 YR Weekly 10.08.05

Glaxo Wellcome - GSK - 4 YR Weekly 10.08.05

Fortune Brands - FO- 4 YR Weekly 10.08.05

Fremont Investments - FMT- 4 YR Weekly 10.08.05

Sunday, October 02, 2005

ETF's and HOLDRs

CBOE's Options on ETFs - Delayed Quotes and Product Specifications

Note: Click the ticker symbol for delayed quotes.

AGG - Options on iShares® Lehman Aggregate Bond Fund
DGT - streetTRACKS® - DJ Global Titans Index Fund
DIA - Options on DIAMONDS®
DVY - iShares DJ Select Dividend
EFA - Options on iShares MSCI EAFE® Exchange Traded Fund
IBB - iShares® Nasdaq® Biotechnology
IDU - iShares DJ® US Utilities Sector
IEF - iShares Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Fund
IGM - iShares Goldman Sachs® Technology Index
IGN - iShares® Goldman Sachs Networking Index Fund
IGV - iShares Goldman Sachs Software Index Fund
IGW - iShares Goldman Sachs Semiconductor Index Fund
IWB - iShares Russell 1000® Index Fund
IWC - iShares Russell Microcap Index Fund
IWD - iShares Russell 1000 Value Index Fund
IWF - iShares Russell 1000 Growth Index Fund
IWM - iShares Russell 2000® Index Fund
IWN - iShares Russell 2000 Value Index Fund
IWO - iShares Russell 2000 Growth Index Fund
IWP - iShares Russell Midcap® Growth Index Fund
IWR - iShares Russell Midcap Index Fund
IWS - iShares Russell Midcap Value Index Fund
IWV - iShares Russell 3000® Index Fund
IWW - iShares Russell 3000 Value Index Fund
IWZ - iShares Russell 3000 Growth Index Fund
IYE - iShares Trust - DJ US Energy Sector Index Fund
IYH - iShares Trust - DJ US Healthcare Sector Index Fund
IYY - iShares DJ US Total Market
LQD - iShares GS$ InvesTop Corporate Bond Fund
MDY - Standard & Poor's MidCap 400® Index
OEF - Options on iShares® S&P 100® Index Fund
ONQ - Options on Fidelity® Nasdaq Composite Index® Tracking Stock
QQQ - Nasdaq-100® Index Tracking Stocksm
RSP - RSP - Rydex S&P Equal Weight Index Fund
SHY - iShares Lehman 1-3 Year Treasury Bond Fund
SPY - SPDR® Options
TLT - iShares Lehman 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund
XLB - Materials Select Sector SPDR
XLE - Energy Select Sector SPDR
XLF - Financial Select Sector SPDR
XLI - Industrial Select Sector SPDR
XLK - Technology Select Sector SPDR
XLP - Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR
XLU - Utilities Select Sector SPDR
XLV - Health Care Select Sector SPDR
XLY - Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR


CBOE's Options on HOLDRssm - Delayed Quotes and Product Specifications

Note: Click the ticker symbol for delayed quotes.

BBH - Biotech HOLDRs Trust
BDH - Broadband HOLDRs Trust
HHH - Internet HOLDRs Trust
IAH - Internet Architect HOLDRs Trust
OIH - Oil Services HOLDRs Trust
PPH - Pharmaceutical HOLDRs Trust
RKH - Regional Bank HOLDRs Trust
RTH - Retail HOLDRs Trust
SMH - Semiconductor HOLDRs Trust
SWH - Software HOLDRs Trust
TBH - Telebras HOLDRs Trust
TTH - Telecom HOLDRs Trust
UTH - Utilities HOLDRs Trust
WMH - Wireless HOLDRs Trust

Saturday, October 01, 2005

New Charts For The Week Of: 09.30.05

AUY - YAMANA GOLD
AZN - ASTRA ZENECA PLC
BKS - BARNES AND NOBLE BOOKS
BSX - BOSTON SCIENTIFIC
C - CITIGROUP
CFC - COUNTRYWIDE
DF - DEAN FOODS
DRI - DARDEN RESTAURANTS
ENR - ENERGIZER
ET - E*TRADE FINANCIAL

E*Trade Financial - ET- 4 YR Weekly 09.30.05



Just bough Harris Direct and Brown/Co...

Up almost 50% since May...

Energizer - ENR - 4 YR Weekly 09.30.05



The bunny has been beaten up to the tune of 8 points to the downside since I happened upon its chart on 09.05.05....

Had a good day on Fri. due to shortcovering/bargain hunting...On its way down to the $50 level...

Darden Restaurants - DRI - 4 YR Weekly 09.30.05



Red Lobster Owners have been High Flyers...

Do they get crushed here too???

Dean Foods - DF - 4 YR Weekly 09.30.05



Food Company Looks to Move Higher W/ Apparent Economic Slowdown on the Horizon

Countrywide - CFC - 4 YR Weekly 09.30.05



Should get beat up in the intermediate term as it has skyrocketed over the past four years...