Thursday, October 08, 2009

Annotated Platinum



This is my comment to the post of this chart at the Big Picture...

With respect to Gold, it is probably outperforming the rest because it is least tied to actual economic activity. I’m thinking that Aluminum and Platinum are lagging the rest because of their connection to the Auto industry. Copper is doing relatively well with the massive China buying and hopes for an economic recovery on the horizon. Silver is doing fairly well though not as well as Gold. I’m thinking that it is due to its hybrid quality of precious metal (inflation hedge) and industrial metal…

I do these charts as a way to get people to discuss the issues, and to hear what the readers are thinking, not to enforce my view on them. I never felt the need to do this before but I should mention that I have no investment positions in any of these metals, futures tied to these metals, or in any stocks in the metals space.

If I were to glean anything from this chart re: actual trading advice, the dashed line around $1359, has been acting as a key support and resistance level throughout the timeframe depicted in this chart. Therefore, if it breaks out above that level, I would buy it on a retest of the breakout as it pulls back to what would then be support around the 1360 area. This way good stops could be put in position to litigate your downside risk.

Wednesday, October 07, 2009

XOM - Exxon Mobil Since Its Inception

The Guy Bagging My Groceries Just Told Me That Gold Broke Out To New Highs and That The Dollar is Finished

I have to admit that on the Daily charts, GOLD looks extremely likely to continue higher.

On the long term charts, it is in a strong sustained uptrend.

The sentiment situation seems out of whack and skewed to the upside.

The good thing is that you can be long with a defined stop loss somewhere around the $1000 level.

Sentiment Alerts:

Last night on CNN they told me that the dollar was finished and that GOLD was at new highs.

Today on Bloomberg, literally everyone and their mother was quoted as calling for GOLD higher.

Short Term GOLD



Long Term GOLD



Long Term Goldcorp

Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Monday, September 28, 2009

Friday, September 25, 2009

Tuesday, September 22, 2009

Five Scenarios for the S&P 500

Scenario #1 - "W" Bottom


Scenario #2 - Inverse H&S


Scenario #3 - Pullback Then Sideways


Scenario #4 - Cup and Handle Advance


Scenario #5- Sustained Uptrend


Blank Template - Try Your Own Luck

Tuesday, September 08, 2009

Annotated $SILVER


$SILVER is pushing higher today... To generate a convincing long-term BUY signal we need to see it take out the most recent highs around $21/oz...

See This Chart on Barry Ritholtz's blog, "The Big Picture"

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Copper and Oil


See Annotated Chart on the Big Picture

That’s the dilemma… is the lag an opportunity for oil to make up ground to eventually mirror the copper move or is the fact that its so far behind indicative of its relative weakness vis a vis copper and its own innate weakness here… it is funny to talk about oil, having gone from 35 to 75, as being innately weak, but then again the S&P just went from 670 to 1030 and you can argue that its innately weak here itself…